Intraday Analysis 29th June 2018

The U.S. dollar was seen holding its ground across some of the currency pairs despite the U.S. first quarter GDP report showing a downside revision. Data from the Commerce department showed that the first quarter GDP in the U.S. increased at a pace of 2.0% compared to the previous estimates that suggested the economy increased at a pace of 2.2%.

The greenback shed some losses but quickly recovered on the day.

The economic calendar is somewhat busy today with the data from the Eurozone covering the French consumer spending and the preliminary inflation reports. This is later followed by the preliminary inflation figures for the Eurozone.

In the UK, the current account figures are expected followed by the final revised GDP for the first quarter of the year.

Economists polled expect to see no change which could confirm that the UK’s economy grew at one of the slowest paces of just 0.1%.

In the U.S. trading session, the core PCE price index is expected to show a 0.2% increase on the month while personal spending and income are expected to rise 0.4% each.

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EURUSD intra-day analysis

eurusd forex intraday analysis

EURUSD (1.1629): The EURUSD currency pair was seen trading subdued on Thursday but price action quickly gained momentum into the early Asian trading session today. The rebound off the 1.1540 support is expected to see some upside prevailing in the currency pair. In the near term, the EURUSD currency pair is expected to struggle near the resistance level of 1.1730. A breakout above this resistance is required for price action to test the next main resistance level at 1.1846 – 1.1824. To the downside, as long as the current support holds, we expect the currency pair to either trade sideways or biased to the upside.

USDJPY intra-day analysis

usdjpy forex intraday analysis

USDJPY (110.68): The USDJPY currency pair was seen slowing inching higher as price action was seen testing the resistance level of 110.62 once again. A convincing breakout above this level could trigger further gains to the upside. However, we expect to see price action mostly consolidating near the resistance level. While there is scope for the USDJPY to pull back, this could potentially lead to an evolving inverse head and shoulders pattern that could turn bullish for the currency pair. The support at 109.57 – 109.43 remains a key level of interest in the near term.

XAUUSD intra-day analysis

xauusd forex intraday analysis

XAUUSD (1249.38): Gold prices continued to post the declines as price action was seen briefly falling below the 1250 handle in the near term. This also coincides with price action testing the lower trend line of the falling price channel. In the event of a rebound, gold prices could be seen extending the gains back to the 1263 level where resistance is most likely to be formed. The Stochastics on the 4-hour chart remains a bit overstretched into the oversold levels currently.

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About the Author
“John Benjamin Resident Analyst at Orbex. John has over 8 years of experience specializing in the currency markets, tracking the macroeconomic and geopolitical developments shaping the financial markets. John applies a mix of fundamental and technical analysis and has a special interest in inter-market analysis and global politics.”
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