The Dollar index is in a bullish trend. Price is above 95 but the RSI on the 4-hour chart is not confirming these new highs. Important short-term support is at 95.15-95. A break below this level will push price lower towards 94.
Blue line- short-term support
Red line – long-term support
Magenta line – bearish divergence
Price is above the Ichimoku cloud and above the long-term support trend line. As long as price is above the 93.60 level and the red trend line support, trend will not be bearish. A break of this trend line will turn trend to bearish. However I believe this Dollar’s rally has run its course and traders should not chase long Dollar positions. I believe they should be ready to go short once support at 94.90 fails to hold. This should be the first shot on short positions and if it goes lower, traders should add to short positions on a break below the red trend line.
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