Daily Market Report – AUD/USD poised for more losses September 12, 2017

AUD/USD Turned To The Downside

AUD/USD dropped further after the yesterday’s bearish candle and should hit fresh new lows very soon. Price has found strong resistance, so the current drop is natural. The USD has taken the lead again as the USDX has rallied in the yesterday’s session.

We’ll see what will happen on the dollar index because the rebound could be only temporary. As you already know, the USDX remains under massive selling pressure despite the current bounce back. Only an accumulation could signal a reversal on the USDX.

The Aussie goes down also because the NAB Business Confidence was reported at 5 points in August, much below 12 points in the previous reading period. The economic indicator has reached the lowest level since December 2016. We’ll see how the pair will react after the release of the US data, the JOLTS Job Openings are expected to drop from 6.16M to 5.96M, while the NFIB Small Business Index decreased from 105.2 to 104.8 points.

The pair has turned to the downside after the false breakout above the 0.8065 horizontal resistance and above the median line (ml) of the minor ascending pitchfork. The next downside target will be at the lower median line (lml) of the minor ascending pitchfork. A breakdown from the pitchfork’s body will send the rate towards the median line (ML) of the major ascending pitchfork, where he could find support again.

EUR/CHF Breakout Underway

Price resumes the yesterday’s bullish candle and is approaching the 1.1450 psychological level. Is trading in the green after the rejection from the upper median line (uml) of the minor ascending pitchfork. I’ve said in the previous reports that a valid breakout above the WL4 will confirm a further increase.

The failure to stay near the upper median line is signaling that the bulls are very strong on the short term.

Gold Closes The Gap

Gold continues to drop on the short term and could close the gap up. Is trading right above the $1325 per ounce and could drop much deeper if the USD will resume the yesterday’s rebound. The next major downside target will be at the first warning line (WL1) of the major descending pitchfork. The retreat is natural after the false breakout above the lower median line (LML) and after the failure to close near it.

By Olimpiu Tuns

Market Analyst

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