GBP/USD On The Way Up
The GBP/USD extends the latest gains as the dollar was ruined by the huge Unemployment Claims reported in the previous week. The Initial Claims have reached the highest level since March 5, 2015, this situation will force the Federal Reserve to keep the rate unchanged for a longer period.
Price keeps rallying as the USDX is too heavy to be stopped, has dropped as much as 91.04 level and will hit the 91.00 psychological level. A further drop will send the USD into agony, right now we don’t have any reversal signs.
The UK’s data release will bring more action on this pair, the Manufacturing Production may increase by 0.3% in July, more versus the 0.0% estimate, while the Goods Trade Balance is expected to increase from -12.7B to -11.9B. The Industrial Production Production may increase by 0.2% in July, while the Construction Output is expected to stay in the negative territory for another month.
The Cable drags the price higher and should reach and retest the first warning line (wl1) very soon if the USDX will hit new lows. Is strongly bullish on the daily chart and is expected to reach at least the 1.3266 previous high.
Only a failure to take out the resistance from the previous high will signal a minor range on the short term. I’ve drawn a minor red ascending pitchfork to encapsulate the upside movement, could find temporary resistance at the median line (ml), but the target could be at the upper median line.
AUD/USD Running For Another Target
AUD/USD rallies and ignores all the near term obstacles. Price is strongly bullish and should reach the upper median line (uml) of the minor ascending pitchfork, where he could find temporary resistance again. However, we cannot exclude a retest of the median line (ml) before will jump much higher.
USD/CHF Could Take This Out?
USD/CHF drops like a rock on the short term and is almost to take out a long term major support level. A valid breakout below the 0.9440 will confirm that the rate has finally escaped from a long term extended sideways movement. However, we still have to wait for a confirmation before we take action.
By Olimpiu Tuns
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