EU Session Bullet Report – FOMC meets today – Doom, Gloom or Boom

Good morning. So will it be economic gloom, doom or boom. The FOMC today begins its most anticipated meeting in 5 years, ahead of its interest rate announcement tomorrow.
The worlds financial markets have regressed into limbo as choppy, range bound markets, do little to boost investor confidence. To illustrate the current uncertainty, yesterday’s German ZEW economic sentiment had literally no impact on the markets despite coming out significantly lower at 12.1 versus 18.3 expected.

The FED finds itself in a dilemma as there are so many variables to consider. The U.S economy is most definitely advancing in a positive manner and recent months data points towards a rate hike. On the other hand, there is the global growth concerns to consider and the possible knock on effect to the U.S.

Raising interest rates could result in a stronger dollar which in turn may impact on exports. Not raising interest rates, could be viewed as acknowledgement that all is not well, which may cause panic and volatility in the financial markets.

What is certain, the next 2 days will be extremely exciting and traders should maintain their accounts with sufficient equity to take advantage of market moves and protect open positions.

News wise today, watch out for Claimant Count Change and Average Earnings from the U.K at 08:30 GMT and Inflation data from the EZ at 09:00 GMT. Later in the U.S session we have CPI at 12:30 GMT.

Trading quote of the day:

“Everyone has the brainpower to follow the stock market. If you made it through fifth-grade math, you can do it.”

– Peter Lynch

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.1335
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.1335 with targets @ 1.125 & 1.121 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.1335 look for further upside with 1.137 & 1.14 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.5395
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.5395 with targets @ 1.529 & 1.525 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.5395 look for further upside with 1.545 & 1.55 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1.5395 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

AUDUSD
Pivot: 0.7085
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.7085 with targets @ 0.7165 & 0.719 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.7085 look for further downside with 0.704 & 0.7015 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

USDJPY
Pivot: 119.8
Likely scenario: Long positions above 119.8 with targets @ 120.65 & 120.95 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 119.8 look for further downside with 119.35 & 118.85 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

USDCAD
Pivot: 1.321
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.321 with targets @ 1.3285 & 1.331 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.321 look for further downside with 1.3175 & 1.315 as targets.
Comment: The RSI advocates for further upside.

USDCHF
Pivot: 0.9695
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.9695 with targets @ 0.9765 & 0.9795 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9695 look for further downside with 0.966 & 0.964 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GOLD
Pivot: 1110
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1110 with targets @ 1098 & 1094 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1110 look for further upside with 1116 & 1119 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1110 is resistance, likely decline to 1098.

OIL
Pivot: 44.33
Likely scenario: Long positions above 44.33 with targets @ 45.46 & 45.88 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 44.33 look for further downside with 43.9 & 43.4 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

DAX
Pivot: 10065
Likely scenario: Long positions above 10065 with targets @ 10340 & 10435 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10065 look for further downside with 9881 & 9773 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.

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TIME IS IN GMT(+3)

Report prepared by the easy-forex VIP desk at 06:20 GMT.

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