EU Session Bullet Report – Oil slumps as demand cools, USD leading the way

Oil recovered slightly yesterday and is currently trading above $38 per barrel although the black gold remains under pressure. Soft trade numbers from China on Tuesday highlighted the struggle facing the worlds’s 2nd largest economy, only serving to confirm concerns over cooling demand.

Asian stocks were trading slightly lower this Wednesday morning reflecting current sentiment amongst the world’s fiancial markets. Commodity currencies continue to be worst hit with USDCAD trading at 11.5 year highs. AUDUSD recovered from its 0.7186 low yesterday, currently trading around the 0.7225 mark.

EURUSD remains bullish, currently trading back above 1.09, whilst JPY made early gains this morning on the greenback following significantly better than expected machine orders data from Japan. Elsewhere, USD remains dominant with modest gains against most currencies.

Today we have the
RBNZ cash rate and rate statement announcements which will be realeasd at 8pm GMT, so expect possible action on NZD crosses. Oil inventories at 3.30pm GMT is the only other highlight of the day.

Trading quote of the day:

“There is only one side of the market and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side.”

Green lines are resistance, Red lines are support.
EUR/USD
Pivot: 1.0825
Likely scenario: long positions above 1.0825 with targets @ 1.098 & 1.109 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0825 look for further downside with 1.076 & 1.069 as targets.
Comment: technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

GBP/USD
Pivot: 1.5055
Likely scenario: short positions below 1.5055 with targets @ 1.4955 & 1.4905 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.5055 look for further upside with 1.509 & 1.5115 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.

AUD/USD
Pivot: 0.725
Likely scenario: short positions below 0.725 with targets @ 0.718 & 0.715 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 0.725 look for further upside with 0.7285 & 0.732 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

USD/JPY
Pivot: 123.2
Likely scenario: short positions below 123.2 with targets @ 122.45 & 122.25 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 123.2 look for further upside with 123.5 & 123.75 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.

USD/CAD
Pivot: 1.35
Likely scenario: long positions above 1.35 with targets @ 1.3635 & 1.369 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.35 look for further downside with 1.344 & 1.34 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

USD/CHF
Pivot: 0.9985
Likely scenario: short positions below 0.9985 with targets @ 0.987 & 0.983 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 0.9985 look for further upside with 1.0035 & 1.0115 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.

GOLD
Pivot: 1082
Likely scenario: short positions below 1082 with targets @ 1068 & 1064 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1082 look for further upside with 1088 & 1093 as targets.
Comment: as long as 1082 is resistance, likely decline to 1068.

OIL
Pivot: 38.9
Likely scenario: short positions below 38.9 with targets @ 36.6 & 35.9 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 38.9 look for further upside with 39.8 & 40.7 as targets.
Comment: as long as 38.9 is resistance, likely decline to 36.6.

DAX
Pivot: 10630
Likely scenario: long positions above 10630 with targets @ 10855 & 11000 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 10630 look for further downside with 10470 & 10260 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.

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TIME IS IN GMT(+2)

Report prepared by the easy-forex VIP desk at 06:20 GMT.

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