EU Session Bullet Report – US Tech at record high & US inflation today

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Global equities remain bid with outperformance from US Tech / NASDAQ (+1.5%) breaking to record highs. Earnings from Netflix (+18%) and Google (13% after hours) buoyed the market.
The USD index is hovering around the two months high following US Fed Yellen restating that the Fed is on course to lift rates this year. US inflation data and building permits are due out 12:30 GMT and likely to guide USD sentiment into the weekend.

Gold is losing its shine this week as it is testing the 2015 low around 1142. Volatility has been low and how the market will react if it tests the 1131 multi-year low will be interesting.
WTI Oil has been consolidating between 50.80 and 53.50 in a textbook range bound market following the sell off from 62.

What did we learn this week?

• What Grexit?
• Yellen signalling rate hike in 2015
• Strong US companies Q2 earnings
• Commodities linked currencies (including AUD, NZD, CAD) are fragile

Trading Quote of the Day:

“The truth of the matter is that you always know the right thing to do. The hard part is doing it.” – General Norman Schwarzkopf

Green lines are resistance, Red lines are support

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.094
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.094 with targets @ 1.085 & 1.081 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.094 look for further upside with 1.0985 & 1.1035 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1.094 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.556
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.556 with targets @ 1.5675 & 1.573 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.556 look for further downside with 1.5495 & 1.545 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

2

AUDUSD
Pivot: 0.7375
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.7375 with targets @ 0.7435 & 0.7475 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.7375 look for further downside with 0.735 & 0.733 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.

3

USDJPY
Pivot: 123.6
Likely scenario: Long positions above 123.6 with targets @ 124.35 & 124.6 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 123.6 look for further downside with 123.35 & 122.85 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

4

USDCAD
Pivot: 1.29
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.29 with targets @ 1.298 & 1.3045 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.29 look for further downside with 1.281 & 1.277 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

5

USDCHF
Pivot: 0.9505
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.9505 with targets @ 0.96 & 0.9635 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9505 look for further downside with 0.9475 & 0.944 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

6

GOLD
Pivot: 1150
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1150 with targets @ 1140 & 1137 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1150 look for further upside with 1156 & 1159.5 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed.

7

OIL
Pivot: 52.2
Likely scenario: Short positions below 52.2 with targets @ 50.55 & 50 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 52.2 look for further upside with 52.87 & 53.4 as targets.
Comment: As long as 52.2 is resistance, likely decline to 50.55.

8

DAX
Pivot: 11475
Likely scenario: Long positions above 11475 with targets @ 11800 & 11900 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 11475 look for further downside with 11250 & 11150 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

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Report prepared by the easy-forex VIP desk at 06:15 GMT.

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