EU Session Bullet Report – USD rally takes a breather

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As the US markets approach a US holiday (veterans day) , the Dollar rally is taking a breather. EURUSD is recovering from a 7 month low of 1.0674 as it is trading around 1.0750 just before the EU open however the bias is still on the downside. Resistance lies at 1.0770.

Same picture for the Cable which jumped in Asia, to 1.5186 from 1.5118. All eyes are on today’s jobs data which could define mid-term direction for the GBPUSD. For the moment, rate hike expectations for UK are set on mid-year 2016.

Meanwhile AUD sees little change after weaker than expected Chinese data, remaining largely unchanged around 0.76065 after China data showed slowdown in factory output.

Calendar wise, as it is a US, Canada and French Market Holiday, the biggest news are UK unemployment data.

Trading Quote of the day:

You will always remember the trades that could have been and forget about the risks that were involved.

Green lines are resistance, Red lines are support.

EUR/USD
Pivot: 1.079
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.079 with targets @ 1.0705 & 1.067 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.079 look for further upside with 1.083 & 1.086 as targets.
Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.079.

GBP/USD
Pivot: 1.5095
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.5095 with targets @ 1.522 & 1.5275 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.5095 look for further downside with 1.506 & 1.502 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

 

AUD/USD
Pivot: 0.7015
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.7015 with targets @ 0.709 & 0.712 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.7015 look for further downside with 0.6975 & 0.6935 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

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USD/JPY
Pivot: 122.65
Likely scenario: Long positions above 122.65 with targets @ 123.6 & 124 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 122.65 look for further downside with 122 & 121.6 as targets.
Comment: A support base at 122.65 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

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USD/CAD
Pivot: 1.3225
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.3225 with targets @ 1.332 & 1.3355 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.3225 look for further downside with 1.318 & 1.3135 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

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USD/CHF
Pivot: 1.0015
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.0015 with targets @ 1.009 & 1.0125 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0015 look for further downside with 0.998 & 0.9945 as targets.
Comment: A support base at 1.0015 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

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GOLD
Pivot: 1096
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1096 with targets @ 1085 & 1079 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1096 look for further upside with 1103 & 1111 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1096 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

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OIL
Pivot: 45.1
Likely scenario: Short positions below 45.1 with targets @ 43.05 & 42.55 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 45.1 look for further upside with 45.65 & 46.2 as targets.
Comment: As long as 45.1 is resistance, likely decline to 43.05.

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DAX
Pivot: 10940
Likely scenario: Short positions below 10940 with targets @ 10680 & 10580 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 10940 look for further upside with 11060 & 11145 as targets.
Comment: As long as 10940 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

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TIME IS IN GMT(+3)

Report prepared by the easy-forex VIP desk at 06:20 GMT.

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