EU Session Bullet Report – USD still strong, EURUSD at key level

20150818-eurusd

The USD rebounded yesterday and stayed firm overnight with the exception being against the NZD which rose after Russia lifted an import ban on Dairy products coming from New Zealand.

EURUSD is lower, however there is a significant Fibonacci support at 1.1060 that needs to break, in order for the path to open towards the 1.0980 key support. GBPUSD is also lower and currently testing 1.5570 support. A break below would open the way for a 1.5530 test. USD is generally trading higher compared to last few trading days as the market focus has shifted from the CNY devaluation concerns to the FED rate hike expectations. Reserve Bank of Australia also released its meeting minutes overnight which indicated that interest rates might stay on hold for a while as the weaker AUD supports the economy.

For today the Fed publishes minutes from its July meeting and the market will be looking for any clues regarding when rates will begin to be normalized. If you are trading the GBPUSD keep in mind that UK releases its inflation data at 08:30 GMT.

Trading quote of the day:

“Predetermine the exit strategy for all trades. Always have a plan for selling, as well as for buying”

Green lines are resistance, Red lines are support

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.1125
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.1125 with targets @ 1.103 & 1.098 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.1125 look for further upside with 1.1165 & 1.119 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.5645
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.5645 with targets @ 1.554 & 1.55 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.5645 look for further upside with 1.569 & 1.5735 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.
20150818-gbpusd

AUDUSD
Pivot: 0.732
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.732 with targets @ 0.741 & 0.744 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.732 look for further downside with 0.727 & 0.7215 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.
20150818-audusd

USDJPY
Pivot: 124.6
Likely scenario: Short positions below 124.6 with targets @ 124.2 & 124 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 124.6 look for further upside with 125 & 125.3 as targets.
Comment: As long as the resistance at 124.6 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 124.2 remains high.
20150818-usdjpy

USDCAD
Pivot: 1.312
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.312 with targets @ 1.3055 & 1.301 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.312 look for further upside with 1.315 & 1.318 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1.312 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
20150818-usdcad

USDCHF
Pivot: 0.98
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.98 with targets @ 0.972 & 0.967 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.98 look for further upside with 0.986 & 0.9905 as targets.
Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 0.98.
20150818-usdchf

GOLD
Pivot: 1112
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1112 with targets @ 1127 & 1135 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1112 look for further downside with 1102 & 1093.7 as targets.
Comment: A support base at 1112 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
20150818-gold

OIL
Pivot: 43
Likely scenario: Short positions below 43 with targets @ 41.33 & 40.9 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 43 look for further upside with 43.85 & 44.4 as targets.
Comment: As long as 43 is resistance, likely decline to 41.33.
20150818-oil

DAX
Pivot: 10800
Likely scenario: Long positions above 10800 with targets @ 11090 & 11205 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10800 look for further downside with 10735 & 10650 as targets.
Comment: Intraday technical indicators are mixed.
20150818-dax

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20150818-calendar

TIME IS IN GMT(+3)
Report prepared by the easy-forex VIP desk at 09:00 GMT.

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Source:: EU Session Bullet Report – USD still strong, EURUSD at key level

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