Fed Gives Dollar a Smack

Posted On 17 Mar 2016

Tag: USD

Yesterday”s Trading:

The USD on Wednesday weakened throughout the market. The Fed decided to keep their interest rate at 0.25-0.50%. It was announced that the rate is to be raised twice this year, and not four times as was said earlier. It is this that caused a sharp fall of the dollar.

The Kansas Fed president George voted to lift rates by 0.25%, with the other 9 voting to keep things unchanged. The forecast for the economy and inflation was dropped. After Yellen spoke, experts began saying that the Fed is setting things in motion for rates to be dropped.

US stats came out mixed. The US industrial production index for February stood at -0.5% (forecasted: -0.1%, previous: 0.8%).

The US CPI for February was -0.2% (forecasted: -0.2%, previous: 0.0%). The CPI which doesn”t take food and energy prices into account for the month was 0.3% (forecasted: 0.2%, previous: 0.3%).

Housing construction in the US for February stood at 1.178 million (forecasted: 1.153 million, previous: 1.120 million). There were 1.167 million construction permits issued (forecasted: 1.205 million, previous: 1.202 million).

Market Expectations:

On Thursday the key event of the day for the currency market is the Bank of England”s meeting. The bank is set to keep its interest rate and asset purchases at previous levels. No surprises are expected. I reckon the euro/dollar pair will continue to rise to 1.1280.

Day”s News (EET):

12:00, Eurozone February CPI and January balance of trade figures.

14:00, BoE interest rate and asset purchasing decision, along with BoE minutes.

14:30, US balance of trade for Q4, initial unemployment benefit applications and Philadelphia Fed PMI for March.

Technical Analysis:

Intraday target maximum: 1.1280, minimum: 1.1205 (current Asian), close: 1.1255.

Intraday volatility for last 10 weeks: 103 points (4 figures).

After the Fed meeting, the euro/dollar headed above the U3 (upper limit of the MA channel). This line will keep the euro from strengthening further. To shift higher, we will need to see the rate hold at its current level for 6 hours. The MA line is facing upwards, so in 6 hours the road to 1.1280 will open up.

Source:: Fed Gives Dollar a Smack

About the Author

Alpari was founded in 1998 and is one of the world’s leading Forex brokers, offering clients a full package of the most modern financial instruments and technological solutions for online trading and investment. According to data from Finance Magnates, Alpari has been one of the largest Forex brokers in the world for a number of years. The trading turnover of the Alpari companies in 2014 was 2.5 trillion USD. Today Alpari is the world’s largest MetaTrader 4 Forex broker. The first half of 2015 saw company branches offering their services to over one million clients from over 150 countries in the world. Alpari clients have access to over 50 currency pairs and an extensive range of other instruments. The company offers the use of three trading platforms for computer and mobile applications for use with iOS and Android. Alpari is a member of international organizations such as The Financial Commission (Hong Kong) and CRFIN (Russia). Bonuses: the Alpari Bonus Program was launched in 2014 and allows clients to independently change their conditions for working on the financial market: reduce commission, save money on swaps, improve conversion rates and much more. Read More about Alpari HERE or you can visit their website direct by CLICKING HERE..