To open long positions on GBP/USD you need:
UK government statements on trade talks with the EU from yesterday, which I described in more detail in the forecast for the US session, limit the growth prospects for the pound. Buyers have the chance to resume the correction, which directly depends on the resistance of 1.2895. If the bulls manage to gain a foothold above this range, we can expect an increase to the resistance of 1.2930, and then an update of the high of 1.2970, where I recommend taking profits. The formation of a false breakout at the support level of 1.2862 will also be a signal to open long positions in the pound, but it is best to take your time and wait for the local lows to update around 1.2830 and 1.2799, where larger players will return to the market.
To open short positions on GBP/USD you need:
Pound sellers control the market, so they will wait for more suitable prices. The formation of a false breakout at the level of 1.2895 with a rebound from the moving average will be a signal to open short positions in the pound, which will lead to its decline and update support at 1.2862, which keeps the pair from a sharper fall. In the absence of active sales in the region of 1.2895, it is better to open short positions in GBP/USD only by a rebound from the high of 1.2930, or even higher, in the resistance area of 1.2970. A more important task of the bears is to break through and consolidate below the support of 1.2862, which will quickly push the pair to the year lows at 1.2830, and will lead to their renewal in the area of 1.2799, where I recommend taking profits.
Signals of indicators:
Trading is carried out below 30 and 50 moving average, which saves the likelihood of continued downward correction. The averages also play the role of resistance.
A break of the lower boundary of the indicator at 1.2862 will increase pressure on the pound, while a breakout of the upper boundary at 1.2897 will cause the pair to sharply rise.
Description of indicators
- Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 50. The graph is marked in yellow.
- Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 30. The graph is marked in green.
- MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence – moving average convergence / divergence) Fast EMA period 12. Slow EMA period 26. SMA period 9
- Bollinger Bands (Bollinger Bands). Period 20
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