Gold price has not bounced as high as we expected and this sideways consolidations opens up the scenario for a new lower low before a bigger bounce towards $1,300-$1,315. Support at $1,280 is crucial for this scenario.
Blue rectangles – similar consolidation patterns
Red lines – expected price path
Gold price remains in a bearish short-term trend. The bullish channel has been broken and price remains below $1,300. The last couple of sessions price mainly moves sideways between $1,280 and $1,290. This consolidation might be followed by a new sell off towards $1,270-60 if support at $1,280 fails to hold. After this new low we might see the anticipated back test of the broken channel support. Resistance is found at $1,290 and as long as we trade below it there are more chances of seeing $1,270-60 area. Confirmation will come with the break of $1,280 support.
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