Trading Outlook – AUD/USD

Posted On 02 Mar 2015

By : Jarratt Davis

Comment: 0

Tag: AUDUSD, Money Markets

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Originally updated: 07:00

Trading Bias: SHORT

Currency pair: AUD/USD

Current Sentiment: Bearish

In today’s trading session we will be focussing on selling opportunities on the AUD/USD.

Fundamentals:

The PBoC have cut rates this raised concerned over the outlook for Chinese growth based on the timing of their cut, this caused DXY to trade at highest level since Sep’03, going into the session we can therefore expect weakness on the AUD. The RBA have a rate decision tomorrow with around 60% of the consensus being that they will cut rates, trade carefully if the RBA don’t cut rates (as argued by RBA watcher Terry McCrann) the AUD will rally solely based on relief.

Technicals:

We expect this pair to sell off during today’s session.

There is strong resistance at 0.7830 which could provide trading opportunities should the price pull back. Look for the price to bounce off this level if it retraces back to it.

Remember to be aware of intra-day news as this can very often change the sentiment which makes our trade weaker. Look for any news that could be positive for this pair, which would change the sentiment to bullish.

Other Market Moving News:

On today’s calendar we have the release of French, German, Eurozone, UK manufacturing PMIs and Eurozone CPI and US ISM Manufacturing PMI later in the session.

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