Daily Market Report – EUR/JPY Breakdown Needs Confirmation October 16, 2016

EUR/JPY – Turned To The Downside

The EUR/JPY dropped and touched fresh new lows today, even if the Nikkei stock index has increased further. The Yen increase also versus the Cable today, not only against the Euro. The JP225 has resumed the upside movement, has managed to reach the 21350 level and maintains a bullish perspective on the daily chart.

The Nikkei has increased sharply in the last weeks and seems poised to hit fresh new highs in the upcoming period, only a minor drop will force the Yen to accelerate the appreciation versus its rivals. The USD/JPY decreased in the last hours as the Nikkie stock index has slipped lower and erased some of the morning gains.

The Yen increased even if the Japanese Revised Industrial Production increased only by 2.0%, less versus the 2.1% estimate and versus the 2.1% growth in the former reading period. On the other hand, the Euro-zone Trade Balance and the German WPI have come in better than expected, but the Euro wasn’t impressed.

The EUR/JPY opened with a gap down today, signaling that the bears are very strong on the short term. Price has come back to close the morning gap, but failed to stay above the 132.13 Friday’s high. The next downside target will be at the upper median line (UML) of the major ascending pitchfork. Remains to see if we’ll have a retest of the broken chart pattern, or will continue to drop. I’ve said in the previous weeks that only a valid breakdown below the UML will confirm a larger drop.

GBP/JPY Pressuring A Support Level

The rate has dropped today’s and resumed the Friday’s minor drop. Price is pressuring the 148.46 static support (resistance turned into support), but only a valid breakdown will signal a drop towards the first warning line (WL1) of the ascending pitchfork. However, a consolidation above the 148.46 will lead the rate towards the 151.66 level.

EUR/CHF Erased The Morning Losses

The EUR/CHF opened with a gap down and dropped as much as 1.1487 level. The bulls have stepped in again and have forced the rate to climb above the 1.1510 yesterday’s low, but this could be only temporary and could drop again. The next downside target will be at the upper median line (uml) of the descending pitchfork.

By Olimpiu Tuns – Market Analyst

I graduated a Master in Business Administration, I am a Market Analyst / Trader on Financial Markets (forex, commodities, futures, options) for more than 6 years, I use technical and fundamental analysis for my daily activity. Founder and Market Analyst at ovtbusiness.com (Financial Markets Blog) and contributor on investing.com, actionforex.com, countingpips.com, forexalchemy.com, etc.

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